Tag: TYNY

  • GroupM’s Trends 2023

     

    With every edition of the annual This Year Next Year report, GroupM also presents its trends for the year. Here’s what it presented to the media and the industry at large on Tuesday.

     

     

    Moving towards attention planning

    With the acceleration of digital media and shifting experiences of consumers, it’s important to understand the impact of attentiveness of the consumer as he engages with media/media assets. We have enhanced our understanding on exactly how many impressions for a single medium or multimedia lead to cross-channel optimisation.

    What we haven’t been able to capture is the viewability impact of each impression on intent & purchase. The way forward is an “attention response curve”, which allows for new planning and pricing discussions. New measures like quality cost per thousand [qCPM] are beginning to be explored and traded. We need to ensure q is measured in a way that represents real quality.

     

    Content breaks boundaries and creates new opportunities

    OTT platforms themselves are becoming popular enough to be licensed into products and promotions. From a marketing and promotion standpoint, brands are looking at leveraging platform like Netflix and Prime Video across their portfolio to create campaigns using multiple shows, movie library and even popular music from some shows. Today we see audience embracing content from multiple geographies and language. A Kashmiri from Srinagar is watching and appreciating Malayalam or Telugu content. We all have seen the audience pan-India celebrate RRR, Pushpa or KGF. We have content in abundance to suite consumption patterns for eclectic/niche audiences as well as the masses.

    Likes of Post Malone (Feeding India), Russ (India Tour), Imagine Dragons & Jackson Wang (Lollapalooza) have come to India in the last 12 months; and on the other end we’ve Diljit Dosanjh performing at Coachella 2023 as part of the festival’s expanded global line up. We will more of this in 2023.

    The myth that’s getting broken is the belief that typically Indians don’t pay for content & experiences. As mentioned above, we see that Indians actually do pay and they are willing to pay premium for some curated experiences.

    From an advertiser POV, these are highly engaged, high-spending audiences, making these events a perfect platform to capitalise on.

     

    Rise in retail media

    Retail media in India is expected to double by 2027.

    With demand for accountability on every single rupee of ad-spend, retail media offers an end-to-end solution from discovery to shopping, with the ability to connect data between consumer, the online marketplace and brands.

    For publishers, monetisation via retail media amplification with the fusion of data and power of programmatic will be growing demand channel.

    In India, the rise of adspends on digital retail media will depend on how the retail media networks are able to demonstrate the value by complementing search efforts and not competing with them.

    Usage of effective hyper-localised and personalised creative at each stage of the funnel of retail media will be critical in realising the full potential.

    While retail media will be used primarily for CPG, it will also be leveraged by non-endemic clients to find audiences with relevant category usage.

    Challenges will continue to exist on measurability beyond end level attribution.

    At GroupM, we have launched our retail media product named Discovery Commerce. It connects all dots from marketplace insights, media, creative, programmatic to purchase in one funnel.

     

    Visual search goes mainstream

    Visual Search delivers instant relevance to a consumer search. It allows users to get exactly what they want rather than a lookalike.

    Visual search also allows for conversion of interest in one specific product (e.g. apparel) to the entire collection – expanding the shopping cart It leads to a huge edge on SEO and how we enhance our marketing ROI. While tagging for search typically needed real people to tag individual products, with Visual search the images are SEO ready and increase the chances of discoverability More importantly, marketers can tap into consumers’ state of “What I didn’t know I want” and increase the ARPU.

     

    New dimensions of omnichannel

    The dramatic shifts in consumer behaviour during the pandemic saw most agile brands shift to multichannel retail, with ecommerce getting a huge surge.

    Post the Pandemic, we are seeing further shifts in consumer behaviour. While ecommerce continues to grow, the rate of growth is slowing down. We are witnessing re-emergence of physical trade, with high street rentals moving up and consumers opting for the joy of physical shopping, touch & feel, etc. We see a rise in “Experience centers” across both traditional and new age brands. The emergence of Metaverse and the growth in AR/VR will power new shopping experiences for consumers.

    Brands will go beyond multichannel to deliver a true omnichannel experience. The first step is to recognize consumers across Physical & Online environments and then give them a seamless, consistent and rewarding brand experience at every touchpoint.

     

    Democratisation of commerce with ONDC

    ONDC is promising to be the new jewel from the India Stack. What UPI did to payments, ONDC is expected to do to Commerce.

    The momentum gained in 2022 will lead to larger participation from brands and marketplaces to be enabled on the ONDC network.

    Currently over 22,000+ sellers are on this open network.

    With transparency and level playing field for all partners at the core, ONDC will help businesses have more choices, larger demand spectrum and avoidance of search bias.

    To build trust in an unbundled and democratic environment, setting up key elements such as Issue and Grievance Resolution, Scoring and Badging, Reconciliation and Settlement, Cataloguing Services will become important.

    In 2023, we will see emergence of hyperlocal marketplaces. Your nearest Kirana shop can possibly be enabled on the ONDC protocols.

    Birth of ecommerce services companies will increase as India’s share of GMV online increases across categories.

    We see exciting times ahead with screen-to-door commerce enabled by ONDC.

     

    Sporting nation in the making

    We see a strong move towards localisation of sports, encouraging local/ regional players and providing opportunities for the nation to become a playing nation rather than just a “watching” one.

    While top dollars are being committed at the top of the funnel with IPL and ICC Media Rights, we see apps/platforms democratising sports broadcast space at an amateur level by providing streaming platforms to local sports tournaments and amateur games. It’s essentially developing smaller cohorts of sports enthusiasts who play, watch, support and enjoy their friends and family performing on-field at local, community events. With more Indians becoming fitness conscious and participating in active sports, we see this medium developing further, creating and catering to a niche audience and corresponding set of advertisers

     

    Inclusivity becoming mainstream

    Indian sports ecosystem went through a metamorphosis in 2008 with the advent of IPL. Cut to 2022, IPL hit an unprecedented high with media rights crossing 100 Cr. per match! While that’s been the headline for the sporting industry, diversity, equality and inclusion has been slowly making its presence felt in the Indian sports arena. We saw early signs of it with Women’s Kabaddi Challenge as a part of Pro-Kabaddi OR Women’s T20 Challenge towards the fag end of regular IPL season. Come Mar 2023, India is ready to host a full-fledged Women’s Premier League with 5 franchises (sold at a whopping total 4670 Cr.) and matches broadcast on Viacom18 network. We expect more of these in days to come.

     

    Docuseries leading to more immersive sports

    GenZ is greatly interested knowing the “inside scoop” when it comes to the sports world and that explains the plethora of sports docuseries making its way into our television sets. We expect this to go a notch up with the shift in content happening from the production house perspective to the athlete themselves reliving the moment to their own fans on their preferred platforms. From an advertiser’s lens, as LIVE sports keeps getting more expensive, docuseries and ancillary content in sports becomes a great asset to leverage and engage with passionate fans in a different context.

     

  • GroupM estimates adspends to grow 15.5% in 2023

     

     

    By Our Staff

     

    GroupM India released its TYNY report on Tuesday, highlighting the advertising expenditure forecast for 2023. GroupM predicts INR 20,000 crores of incremental adspends in 2023 compared to 2022.

     

    This, according to a communique, highlights the continued growth and potential of the Indian advertising industry and the opportunities it presents for advertisers. The report highlights a 15.5% increase in ad spends in India, reaching INR 1,46,450 crore in 2023.

     

    India moves up to the 8th position globally in ad spends and continues to be the fastest-growing
    market in the top 10 markets worldwide.

     

    Prasanth Kumar
    Prasanth Kumar

    Said Prasanth Kumar, South Asia CEO, GroupM: “As technology redefines interactions between consumers, brands and businesses the ad industry must navigate thru this changing environment. The past 3 years have been marked by macroeconomic volatility and global events that have impacted advertisers’ businesses and ad spending. The Indian economy though is expected to weather these challenges and is poised to grow in the coming years.”

     

    Ashwin Padmanabhan
    Ashwin Padmanabhan

    Added Ashwin Padmanabhan, President – Investments, Trading, and Partnerships, GroupM – India: “Indian Adex will be the fastest growing globally at 15.5% supported by robust macroeconomic conditions. Digital at 56% of all advertising spends and growing at 20% over last year is driving the growth of Adex. India stands out globally with all mediums expected to grow with TV, Print and Radio growing at high single digits! We see 2023 panning out stronger as we move into the second half of the year and are confident of the Indian Adex staying on course to grow as projected.”

     

    Said Parveen Sheik, Head of Business Intelligence, GroupM India: “The growth of SMEs in the Adex has been a feature for the past few years, this year too we see the same trend. We also anticipate the revival of the rural economy as well as improved funding for the start-up ecosystem. Additionally, Telecom, BFSI, Retail, Fintech, Gaming as well as Travel & Tourism are expected to drive ad spending.”

     

    The launch and expansion of 5G services beyond top metros, combined with affordable
    smartphones, is also expected to drive ad spend growth, GroupM adds.

     

  • Indian ad industry nears 100k cr milestone

     

     

    By Indrani Sen

     

    Indrani SenLast week, both GroupM’s This Year Next Year (TYNY) and Madisons Media’s Pitch Madison Advertising Report (PMAR) got released and their basic findings have already been reported by all business and trade media. The general mood in the advertising industry is exuberant as both the reports have confirmed that AdEX zoomed in 2021, by 37% as per PMAR and by 26.5% as per TYNY in spite of the third wave of the pandemic. In 2021, India was the fastest growing market in the top 10 countries, ranking 9 globally and ranking 5 on incremental ad spend predicted for 2022.

     

    The current year also promises to be a good year for Indian ad industry with PMAR predicting 20% growth and TYNY predicting 22% growth in adspend in 2022 over 2021. However, this year the two reports raises a paradox, will the ad industry cross INR 100,000 crore milestone in 2022 as predicted by TYNY or touch 90,000 crore as predicted by PMAR? It seems that we will be celebrating the milestone of achieving INR 100,000 crore ad expenditure twice, once in 2022 by GroupM, its constituent agencies and clients and once again in 2023 by another large part of the industry who prefers to use PMAR.

     

    It is acceptable that two or more research studies done by different agencies may yield different estimates of adspends by media and as long as the trends are the same, all such estimates can be used by the industry. Indian media, advertisers and agencies have learned to live with different estimates for the industry size, growth rates as well as predictions from different sources including TYNY and PMAR. However, as the difference of almost INR 21,000 crore between the estimates for 2022 in the two reports is huge, it may be prudent to analyse the macro level statistics of PMAR and TYNY to find out the source of such huge difference.

     

    As digital, TV and print account for a total share of 94% to 96% of the total ad expenditure in both the reports, a review of the adspend across these three media will suffice for finding out the sources of the difference in estimates.

     

    Both GroupM and Madison Media have reported digital as the fastest growing media in 2021 and a continuity in the momentum of growth in 2022. In TYNY, digital adspends has equalled the TV adspends in 2021, where as in PMAR the digital adspends will equal or cross TV adspend in 2022.  Over the last three years, TYNY has been consistently reporting about INR 10,000 crore more in digital media ad spend than PMAR. In 2022 the ad spend in digital media is estimated to be INR 15,533 crore higher in TYNY than in PMAR.

     

     

    Similarly, in case of TV adspend, the estimate by TYNY was higher than TYNY by INR 10,000 crore in 2019, which reduced to INR 8000 crore in 2020 and 2021. However, in the estimate for 2022, the same has again become higher by INR 10,000 crore. So, the estimates for digital and TV taken together account for a difference of INR 25000 crore between TYNY and PMAR in their predictions of 2022.

     

     

    When it comes to print adspend, the table is turned as PMAR has been consistently estimating higher spends in print than TYNY. In 2022, PMAR’s prediction for print ad spend is INR 6000 crore higher than that of TYNY. So, by combining print with digital and TV and other traditional media, the difference of INR 25000 crore gets reduced to INR 21000 crore.

     

    Source: TYNY 2022 & PMAR 2022

     

    It seems a bit unfair that TYNY has condemned print adspends in India to almost zero growth in 2022. As TYNY is done as a global report, has this estimate for Indian print ad spend been influenced by the global scenario where in most countries print ad spends have been steadily declining for years?

     

    I have written about the difference in the findings of TYNY and PMAR earlier in www.mxmindia.com. I know that we will never really get to know the reasons for such huge differences between the estimates of TYNY and PMAR, but it is becoming increasingly difficult to explain the reasons for the same to students of media management in a classroom as there is a danger that they may get confused and lose faith in media research.

     

     

    Read past commentary by Indrani Sen at:


    https://www.mxmindia.com/2021/02/so-how-do-the-groupm-madison-forecasts-compare/

    https://www.mxmindia.com/2020/02/a-roller-coaster-ride-of-adspends/

    https://www.mxmindia.com/2020/02/well-pitched-delivery/

    https://www.mxmindia.com/2019/02/indian-ad-industry-are-happy-times-really-here-again/

    https://www.mxmindia.com/2018/02/indrani-sen-mind-the-tv-adex-gap/

    https://www.mxmindia.com/2017/02/what-is-the-real-size-of-indian-ad-industry/

    https://www.mxmindia.com/2016/02/indrani-sen-boomtime-for-media-a-review-of-the-pitch-madison-advertising-report-2016/

     

  • GroupM forecast for 2022: 22.2% AdEx growth

     

     

    By Our Staff

     

    WPP-owned media investment conglomerate GroupM has  announced its  advertising expenditure (AdEx) forecasts for 2022. As per the GroupM futures report ‘This Year, Next Year’ (TYNY) 2022, the adspends are estimated to reach 107,987crs in 2022. This represents the estimated growth of 22% for the calendar year 2022. India will be the fastest-growing market among the top 10 global markets and retains its 9th rank in 2022, as per the report. See GroupM TYNY2022 deck.

     

    Commenting on the TYNY 2022 report, Prasanth Kumar, CEO, GroupM South Asia said, “The pandemic has pushed the envelope towards digital and has hence topped the pie, with advertisers keen to explore more of it. Ecommerce and Telco will drive the economy, we also expect FMCG and auto to slowly catch up and contribute towards this growth.”

     

    Added Tushar Vyas, President – Growth and Transformation, GroupM South Asia: “With the pivot to digital by consumers and companies alike, digital emerges as the largest medium in 2022 with an estimated share of 45%.  Digital is estimated to grow by 33% in 2022. As digital capabilities enhance and connectivity becomes omnipresent, technology will further poise and change almost every sector of India’s economy.”

     

    Said Parthasarathy Mandayam, Chief Strategy Officer, GroupM South Asia: “With consumers gravitating towards themes like sustainability and sensitivity, brands are adapting rapidly, and media has the power to lead this change. Flexible, specialist and distributed teams are the order of the day and this trend will be further enhanced with the arrival of 5G. The emphasis on performance marketing has further accelerated and is at the very core of marketing. Intelligent & responsible leverage of first-party data will be critical for brands & marketers in driving this.”

     

    Said Atique Kazi, President – Data, Performance & Digital Products, GroupM India: “Marketers will have to bring together innovation, intelligence and integration in their strategy to win on Digital. In 2022; we will also see addressable TV coming to India in some scalable form and connected tv surge with smart TV sales and new fibre/broadband connections will be on the rise. Focusing on eCommerce, performance marketing, outcome-based media and addressable data is winning formula in 2022.”

     

    Added Sidharth Parashar, President – Investments & Pricing, GroupM India: “While digital is set to take the larger pie, we are expecting a noteworthy revival for OOH & cinema too after a tough period. Advertising on e-commerce, the rise of influencers and short format videos along with OTT has witnessed growth in 2021, which would continue in 2022.”

     

    Said Ashwin Padmanabhan, President – Partnerships & Trading, GroupM India: “The rapid digital transformation of companies, brands and the way they connect with consumers is reflected in the global advertising spends as well as the way even traditional media is expanding with their digital extensions. India in 2022 will see a rapid manifestation of these Global trends and thus fundamentally altering the media industry.”

     

  • Achche Din… GroupM forecasts 23.2% in CY2021

    GroupM share of adspend

     

    By Our Staff

     

    GroupM India has announced its advertising expenditure (AdEx) forecasts for 2021. As per the GroupM futures report ‘This Year, Next Year’ (TYNY) 2021, India will see a major ad recovery in 2021 given the downfall of ad spends in 2020 due to the pandemic.

     

    TYNY forecasts India’s advertising investment to reach an estimated Rs. 80,123 crores this year. This represents an estimated growth of 23.2%, for the calendar year 2021. India is the 2nd fastest growing market in the top 10 countries and will be the 6th largest contributor to incremental ad spends in 2021 globally. While India was ranked 9th in the global ad spend rank in 2019, it dropped to 10 in 2020 and is likely to regain its 9th rank this year.

     

    Prasanth Kumar, CEO - GroupM South Asia
    Prasanth Kumar

    Commenting on the TYNY 2021 report, Prasanth Kumar, CEO – GroupM South Asia said, “2020 was an unprecedented year. The pandemic impacted across sectors and it, therefore, affected the media investments too. As we are aware, the year that went by had a mixture of lockdowns, many restricted market momentum and overall threw a challenge and impacted multi-industry economies. The ad industry too had its challenges and 2020 witnessed a steep drop in the overall media investments. However, we have witnessed a month-on-month upturn in the industry starting Q3 last year and we are quite optimistic about the revival that 2021 will see. With the gradual easement of the lockdown backed by seasonal spends and big-ticket events like IPL, we expect 2021 to continue to build on that momentum. While the global ad spends are estimated to see a rise of 10% in 2021, digital is expected to take 67% of ad spends. With the help of technology, marketers have adapted to pandemic-proof ways by constantly innovating, staying relevant and offering digitally charged solutions to brands.”

     

    Digital was the only medium to witness a gain of USD 27bn globally in 2020. Digital as a media vehicle will continue to skyrocket due to the increase in digital dependency and changing consumer patterns.

     

    Tushar Vyas, GroupM
    Tushar Vyas

    Added Tushar Vyas, President – Growth and Transformation, GroupM South Asia: “2021 will see 90% incremental ad spends on digital globally. The massive switch to digital reliance over the past 1 year has been a major driver for this shift. Brands have been forced to think big and different to transform their businesses, match the newer expectations and overcome the challenges faced. The post-pandemic era will continue to see this upsurge in digital demands. The crisis has brought about a sea change in mindset, adoption, and role of technology in doing business. Brands are seen renewing their business models and are constantly ideating to find better ways to connect with the consumer on a digital tangent.”

     

    Ashwin Padmanabhan
    Ashwin Padmanabhan

    While Covid-19 resulted in an overall slowdown in the global economy, Indian adspends will continue to see a month-on-month recovery considering the overall media landscape. Said Ashwin Padmanabhan, President – Partnerships and Trading of GroupM India: “Based on a strong foundation built on the back of FMCG and e-commerce, 2021 is expected to see growth across sectors like auto, telecom, consumer durable, retail and education. Manufacturing, which was severely impacted by the pandemic, is now stabilising and moving toward a positive outlook enabled by automation, technology and supply chain optimisation. 2020 has accelerated the adoption of agile, cost-effective business models, which will help brands and marketers offer better products, services and experiences to consumers.”

     

    Sidharth Parashar, President - Investments and Pricing, GroupM India
    Sidharth Parashar

    Added Sidharth Parashar, President-Investments and Pricing of GroupM India: “Along with digital, television saw a spike in consumption during the lockdown. With acceptance on the subscription bandwagon increasing, OTT will continue to witness a constructive growth and is likely to develop with more players attracting users by investing in content. Print & Radio expected to be backed by local advertisers and certain categories with marketeers leveraging the brand solutions that these media offer. We expect OOH and cinema to see double-digit growth after a difficult year. Given the uncertainty and cautiously spending consumer, brands are realising the importance of being present wherever consumers are. Hence along with continued relevance of television & other mass media, we will witness advertisers leveraging relevant platforms to reach out to its audience.”

     

    GroupM TYNY Key Highlights

  • GroupM forecasts 14% adspends growth

     

    By A Correspondent

     

    GroupM, the media investment group of WPP, announced its advertising expenditure (AdEx) forecasts for India for the year 2019.  As per the ‘This Year, Next Year’ (TYNY) 2019 report, India tops the list as the fastest growing major ad market in the world. TYNY forecasts India’s advertising investment to reach an estimated Rs. 80,678 crores this year. This represents strong estimated growth of 14%, for the calendar year 2019 (approx 2x of the GDP growth).

     

    India will be the third highest contributor to the incremental ad spends, only behind China and USA and the tenth fastest growing country with respect to ad spends across the globe.

     

    The Cricket World Cup and Elections in 2019 are expected to boost adspends. FMCG, Auto, Retail, e-commerce, Tech/Telecom are expected to contribute to 2/3rd of the AdEx. According to GroupM, the special events of the year (World Cup Cricket and Elections) will add around 3 per cent to the 11 per cent organic growth forecast for the year.

     

    Speaking on the TYNY 2019 report, Sam Singh, CEO – GroupM South Asia said: “While we are estimating the global advertising expenditure to grow at 3.6%, India would be witnessing the fastest growth at 14% and reach an estimated Rs.80,578 crores. This would be approximately 2x of the estimated GDP growth in India. This also makes India the third largest adex growth to the worldwide ad spends. We expect sustained and stable media investment growth across categories in India”

     

    This year 37% of incremental ad pends will go towards digital advertising including mobile. The scale at which we are witnessing this digital transformation, GroupM estimates the Digital Adex to continue to grow by 30% in 2019 to Rs. 16,038 crores.

     

    Added Prasanth Kumar, Chief Operating Officer – GroupM South Asia: “Indian adspends CAGR between 2014-2018 is at 13% and 2019 expected to witness a higher growth. India is unique among key markets and will witness growth in all media segments and not just digital. Offline media is poised to continue to grow and will contribute to being around 80% of ad spends in 2019.”

     

    Television will continue to grow at a steady pace. This year, the growth rate for TV is estimated to be 15%.

     

    Print is estimated to grow by 2.2% and the share of print to all media is expected to be at 23%. While it is expected for both English and regional languages to grow, regional will see slightly higher growth. Vernacular will continue to thrive on both TV and print.

     

    This year radio is expected to grow at 15% which is higher than the last couple of years. Cinema will grow at 25% in 2019, as 2018 saw more titles winning audience at the box office. In 2019 GroupM expects cinema to shift from title-based advertising to continued advertising through the year. Lower tax on cinema tickets is expected to drive more footfalls to theatres.

     

    GroupM also presented some of the biggest trends that will shape the media Industry in India in 2019. The trends presented were around emerging technology, data, content creation and distribution put the consumer at the center and underline the theme of digital driving the change across all formats of media. The trends touched upon the TRAI tariff order implementation as well its potential impact of increasing original programming and investments on content across broadcaster networks.

     

    Said Tushar Vyas, President Growth and Transformation – GroupM South Asia: “With the surge of technology, better insights and relevant engagement across different platforms, we are expecting marketers to build superior consumer connections for brands. 2019 will witness a faster growth in digital and we are expecting digital to be at 20% media mix. As we are witnessing one in every three Indians digitally connected, we can expect the convergence of data, digital and content to deliver seamless and powerful solutions to brands as well as constantly adding inventive practices into the market.”  ESP Properties head Vinit Karnik also spoke on the occasion.

     

    TYNY 2019 Media Handout