MxMIndia

Tag: Rajib Basu

  • But India will see an increase in total newspaper revenue at a 2.7% CAGR, notes the report

    Indian M&E to grow at 8.8% CAGR by 2026: PwC

     

     

    By Our Staff

     

    India’s media and entertainment industry is expected to reach INR 4,30,401Cr by 2026 at 8.8% CAGR. These figures come from PwC’s Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2022-2026, the 23rd annual analysis and forecast of M&E spending by consumers and advertisers across 52 territories.

     

    Said Rajib Basu, Partner & Leader – Entertainment & Media, PwC India: ”The Indian Media and Entertainment outlook for the next few years is quite unique. There is an exciting pace of growth of digital media and advertising led by the deeper penetration of internet and mobile devices in our market. At the same time, traditional media will hold their steady growth rate over the next few years. We shall see a very different profile of media and entertainment related businesses and revenue models emerging in the digital space once we have the rollout of 5G.”

     

    Key findings for India in this year’s Outlook include:

    OTT Video: Total OTT revenue more than doubled in 2020, partly driven by the absence of public entertainment and additional time at home. This trend continued in 2021, with revenue nearly doubling again. While growth rates will slow, the market will still expand at an impressive 14.1% CAGR to reach INR 21,032Cr in 2026. It is subscription services that are driving this rapid growth, accounting for 90.5% of revenue in 2021 and set to account for 95% in 2026.

     

    Newspapers & consumer magazines: India will see an increase in total newspaper revenue at a 2.7% CAGR from INR 26,378Cr in 2021 to INR 29,945Cr in 2026. India, which will leapfrog both France and the UK to become the fifth-biggest newspaper market by 2026, will also be the only country to grow total newspaper print revenue consistently across the five-year forecast period. India will also be the only country in the world to grow daily print newspaper copy sales (by volume) during the forecast period. The increase at a 1.3% CAGR – to an average of 139mn daily average print newspaper sales in 2026, one-third of the global daily total – will mean that India will overtake China as the biggest world market for print edition readership in 2025.

     

    Out-Of-Home Advertising: India’s out-of-home (OOH) advertising market is demonstrating one of the strongest comebacks globally and is predicted to grow at 12.57% CAGR to reach INR 5,562Cr in 2026. Total OOH revenue recovered by 63.4% in 2021 over the 2020 levels which was one of the steepest downturns of any market and the biggest fall in revenue among the world’s major economies. In 2021 total OOH revenue was up to INR 3,076Cr. The momentum of this rebound will carry over into 2022, and by year-end the market will be at the value INR 4,084Cr.

     

    Video games & esports: India’s total video games and esports revenue was INR 16,200Cr in 2021, and is forecasted to reach INR 37,535Cr by 2026, increasing at a 18.3% CAGR. While still a fairly small market for the country’s size and population, India is the third fastest-growing video games market in the world, after Turkey and Pakistan. India’s video games market is predominantly geared towards social/casual gaming. With revenue of INR 13,244Cr, social/casual gaming made up 83.9% of India’s total video games and esports revenue in 2021. Expanding at a 20.6% CAGR, social/casual gaming revenue is expected to reach INR 34,581Cr by 2026. A big enabler of this segment will be the emergence of 5G technology in the market.

     

    TV advertising: After several years of rapid expansion, India’s TV advertising market was hit by the Covid-19 recession in 2020, causing a -10.8% decline over the 2019 levels. This proved to be a temporary setback. With the country’s return to economic growth in 2021, this segment grew by 16.9% to INR 32,374Cr. The market will expand further at a 6.3% CAGR to reach INR 43,410Cr by 2026. At this time, India will be the fifth-largest TV advertising market globally, after the US, Japan, China and the UK.

     

    Cinema: India is the third-biggest market globally in terms of admissions after China and the US in 2021 and is set to grow at the highest growth rate amongst all the segments at a staggering 38.3% CAGR in the forecast period to reach INR 16,198Cr by 2026. In 2021 more than 379mn cinema tickets were sold in India, a healthy increase year-on-year on the 278mn admissions in 2020 (and higher than the 226mn admissions in the US in 2020) though that had been a huge (-85.4%) drop as compared to the 1.9bn tickets sold pre-pandemic.

     

    Internet advertising: India’s Internet advertising market is set to increase at a 12.1% CAGR to reach INR 28,234Cr by 2026. Given India’s mobile-first Internet access market, the mobile sector dominates the country’s Internet advertising market, accounting for 60.1% of total revenue in 2021, rising to 69.3% by 2026. Display advertising dominates the mobile sector, accounting for 90.7% of revenue in 2021 though its share will fall to 88.9% of the total in 2026. India’s wired Internet access revenue amounted to INR 6,379Cr in 2021 which is predicted to increase at a 6.3% CAGR to reach INR 8,829Cr by 2026.

     

    Music, Radio & Podcast: India’s music, radio & podcast segment grew at 18% in 2021 and is set to grow at 9.8% CAGR to reach INR 11,536Cr by 2026. India’s Recorded Music industry (which is a key sub-segment) is making steady progress at a CAGR of 13.6%, thanks to streaming models. Here the revenue has grown from just INR 1,663Cr in 2017 to INR 2,568Cr in 2021, and is expected to continue on this path to INR 4,849Cr by 2026.On the other hand the country’s Live Music industry remains small, and it shed two-thirds of its revenue in the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic. Revenue ticked up in 2021 to INR 434 Cr and is forecast to grow to revenues of INR 1,052 Cr in 2026, increasing at a 19.2% CAGR.

     

    Other factors impacting the global M&E sector:

    Global Revenue – Fastest growing segments

    After a stellar 2021, virtual reality (VR) continues to take steps towards becoming a mass-market proposition. VR gaming content is the primary contributor to total revenue, bringing in US$1.9bn in 2021 and highest CAGR for the forecast period. Total cinema revenue will rise globally over the forecast period, and the pandemic-driven losses experienced in 2020 will be reversed, with the market hitting new heights in 2023. Box office revenue is set to reach US$49.4bn in 2026. Internet advertising comfortably leads the way as the largest advertising segment. An exceptional 31.6% year-on-year rise in 2021 put total global Internet advertising revenue at US$468.4bn, up more than US$112bn in absolute terms in 2020.

     

    The metaverse awaits

    In the not-too-distant future the metaverse could become a stunningly virtually realistic world where individuals access immersive virtual experiences, through VR headsets or other connecting devices. Because the metaverse is an evolution that may profoundly change how businesses and consumers interact with products, services and each other, its potential financial and economic value goes far beyond VR. In time, much of the revenues associated with video games, music performances, advertising and even e-commerce could migrate into the metaverse.

    How big is the E&M opportunity in the metaverse? The fast-growing market for VR is a starting point to consider. It is currently one of the smaller segments tracked, but the 36% rise in global spending over the past year is a hint of its long-term potential. The global installed base of stand-alone and tethered VR headsets is projected to grow from 21.6m in 2021 to 65.9m in 2026.

     

    Werner Ballhaus, Global Entertainment & Media Industry Leader, PwC Germany, said: “Industry press tends to focus on the companies that have dominated the E&M industry. But it is the choices that billions of consumers make about where they will invest their time, attention and money that are fueling the industry’s transformation and driving the trends.  We are seeing the emergence of a global E&M consumer base for the coming years that is younger, more digital and more into streaming and gaming than the current consumer population. This is shaping the future of the industry.”

     

  • A K-shaped bifurcated recovery is on the horizon with OTT, internet advtg, video/games/e-sports, music & podcasts expected to spearhead growth

    M&E expected to grow at CAGR of 10.1%: PwC

     

    By A Correspondent

     

    According to PwC’s Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2020-2024, the Indian M&E industry’s long-term outlook remains robust as it is expected to grow at 10.1% CAGR to reach 55 billion USD by 2024. A K-shaped bifurcated recovery is on the horizon in which sectors like OTT, internet advertising, video/games/e-sports, and music and podcasts are expected to spearhead growth in the industry. Globally, Digital revenue is expected to contribute 60% to the total E&M revenue by 2020, alone.

     

    In terms of individual segment market size as a percentage of total E&M revenue, OTT video in India is expected to see the largest gain and reach 5.2% by 2024, closely followed by internet advertising. Segments like advertising and those dependent on physical locations are likely to be further impacted in a negative manner whereas digital E&M spending will increasingly be regarded as a non-discretionary expense. While globally, newspapers and magazines are dropping the free online model and starting to ask readers to pay for quality content online, digital paywalls are yet to become commonplace in India. Furthermore, while India will remain the world’s biggest cinema market in admission terms, cinema revenue in India will contract at a -2.6% CAGR to total US$1.5bn over the next 5 years.

     

    Said Rajib Basu, Partner & Leader – Entertainment & Media, PwC India: “We find ourselves in extraordinary times, and the pandemic has accelerated ongoing shifts in consumers’ behaviour, pulling forward digital disruption and reaching industry tipping points that wouldn’t otherwise have been reached in the next few years. Our research shows that India will be the fastest growing entertainment and media market globally in terms of pure consumer revenue. Coming out of Covid-19, a K-shaped bifurcated recovery  is expected in which some sectors rise while others fall. Over the next five years, the outlook remains highly positive for digital led segments such as OTT, Internet Advertising, Online Gaming and Music & Podcasts that were perfectly positioned to meet consumers where they are in 2020 – predominantly at home and online,” adding: “However, companies simultaneously have to prepare to meet them where they will be two years from now. They will need to build and maintain direct-to-consumer relationships, offer enough differentiation or scale to compete, and unlock greater value using the right technologies. This is a unique window of opportunity for E&M businesses to transform and make themselves more resilient and relevant for the future.”

     

    Top 4 segments to advance rapidly:

    1. OTT Video: India holds the most potential of any market in the world and its breakneck rate of growth will see total OTT video revenue overtake South Korea, Germany and Australia to jump to being the sixth-largest market in 2024. Subscription video on demand will be the prime driver of revenue, increasing at a 30.7% CAGR from US$708mn in 2019 to US$2.7bn in 2024. OTT video growth is coming from both inside and outside the home as Internet-connected devices proliferate as the new ‘at-home’ environment has led to the rise of direct-to-consumer apps, local ‘bite-sized’ entertainment platforms and user-generated content (UGC) formats

    2. Internet Advertising: India is now the sixth-largest Internet advertising market in the Asia Pacific region. Mobile will be the primary driver of revenue in the Internet advertising market revenue due to increased data affordability, new mobile-first formats, ability to measure, and strategic targeting. Nonetheless, from a global perspective, Internet advertising in India remains underdeveloped and has massive headroom for growth

    3. Video, Games & E-sports: Gaming and e-sports are capitalizing on the need to bring live experiences into the home in more personalized and more engaging ways. E-sports represented less than 1% of overall market in 2019, but has become one of the fastest growing segments today with a projected 33% CAGR by 2024. However, despite surging growth and enormous potential, the sector tackles with the biggest challenge of low levels of app monetisation

    4. Music, Radio & Podcasts: Podcast industry was already experiencing rapid growth prior to the COVID-19 outbreak. Fuelled by the uptake of music-streaming brands, the overall space is expected to grow at a 13.5% CAGR, to total revenue of nearly US$1.7bn in 2024. India will also see strong increase at a 30.4% CAGR in its monthly podcast listener base over the next five years, supported by entry of foreign players and original content on topics including news, society and culture

     

    As the industry navigates into the post-pandemic world, one can witness new opportunities for capturing growth:

    > Players bolster subscription offerings – With consumers increasingly paying a monthly fee to access a library of entertainment content, such as films, music, content, fitness etc., media and entertainment industry players are catching on to the value of subscription based models to bring in business. Optimising revenue mix or pricing models to emerge more resilient and capture a bigger share of the wallet will be the focus

     

    > Physical events look for digital alternatives – Another opportunity made more compelling by the pandemic is bringing live experiences into the home in a more personalized and engaging manner. Digital spaces—e-commerce platforms, virtual event spaces, gaming channels, podcasts—are evolving into powerful new platforms for marketing. Creating new content propositions will help realise new revenue streams

     

    > OTT will thrive in 2020 as cinema and traditional TV degrow – OTT sector will directly benefit from the closure of cinemas, as some film studios choose to fast-track new releases to home video platforms. Since OTT platforms offer convenience and accessibility to consumers who are likely to hold on to their new habits of streaming ‘at home’, global SVOD revenue may overtake box office spend very soon

     

    > Landmark acquisitions are out; buying growth and cash flows are in.  – As companies look for ways to navigate barriers, strategic investments & alliances in search of scale and growth will be crucial to determine success in the E&M media industry